Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Fuenlabrada
26.9%
Draw
38.0%
Extremadura UD
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.26
Extremadura UD
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).