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09 Nov 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.4%
Fatih Karagümrük
34.8%
Draw
39.7%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Fatih Karagümrük

vs
1.28

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.4%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
9.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).