Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Kocaelispor
39.4%
Draw
21.7%
Gaziantep
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Kocaelispor
vs
0.72
Gaziantep
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.7%
1-1
16.1%
1-0
14.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).