Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Genk
24.3%
Draw
31.0%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Genk
vs
1.39
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).