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28 Mar 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.8%
Bodrumspor
27.3%
Draw
62.9%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62

Bodrumspor

vs
1.77

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.4%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).