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AHT: 11CSV

18 Jan 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.8%
Kocaelispor
36.5%
Draw
40.7%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Kocaelispor

vs
1.19

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.4%
0-0
16.4%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).