Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Dundee United
22.5%
Draw
8.4%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Dundee United
vs
0.57
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
14.2%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
10.0%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).