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11 Sept 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.6%
Ibiza
30.7%
Draw
38.8%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Ibiza

vs
1.07

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).