Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Rochdale
23.4%
Draw
36.5%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Rochdale
vs
1.45
Sutton
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).