Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Everton
20.6%
Draw
9.4%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Everton
vs
0.69
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).