Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Exeter
25.6%
Draw
45.6%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Exeter
vs
1.32
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).