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16 Feb 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Eldense
26.1%
Draw
44.0%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Eldense

vs
1.42

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).