Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Macclesfield
25.5%
Draw
20.4%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Macclesfield
vs
0.79
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).