⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

12 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
53.4%
Gillingham
24.1%
Draw
22.5%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Gillingham

vs
0.86

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).