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AHT: 01CSV

09 Nov 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.8%
Magdeburg
25.5%
Draw
42.7%
Paderborn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Magdeburg

vs
1.70

Paderborn

Markets

BTTS63.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).