Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →98.3%
Barcelona
1.4%
Draw
0.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
5.67
Barcelona
vs
0.46
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.4%
Over 2.594.2%
Over 3.585.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
10.9%
4-0
9.6%
3-0
6.8%
5-1
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
2-1
1.7%
1-0
1.2%
5-2
1.2%
4-2
1.0%
3-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).