Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.5%
Napoli
14.5%
Draw
7.0%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Napoli
vs
0.57
Monza
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).