Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Ponferradina
28.1%
Draw
35.4%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Ponferradina
vs
1.14
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).