⚽ FootballData
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DHT: 11CSV

21 Nov 2015

Cesena

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Vicenza
28.7%
Draw
27.1%
Cesena

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Vicenza

vs
1.09

Cesena

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).