Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.7%
Wrexham
8.8%
Draw
83.5%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Wrexham
vs
4.23
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS75.5%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.7%
Over 2.592.2%
Over 3.581.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-4
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
1-5
5.6%
2-4
4.8%
0-4
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-5
4.1%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).