Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Luton
26.1%
Draw
15.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Luton
vs
0.71
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).