Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Spezia
25.1%
Draw
51.8%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Spezia
vs
1.55
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).