Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Dortmund
19.1%
Draw
11.5%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Dortmund
vs
0.83
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).