Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Charlton
31.5%
Draw
45.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Charlton
vs
1.23
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).