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AHT: 10CSV

20 Apr 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.8%
Lecco
13.8%
Draw
80.4%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Lecco

vs
2.76

Venezia

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.5%
0-3
11.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
6.6%
1-4
5.2%
0-5
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).