Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Brackley Town
31.9%
Draw
23.3%
Truro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Brackley Town
vs
0.80
Truro
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
14.0%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).