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AHT: 00CSV

30 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Inter

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.5%
Salernitana
7.8%
Draw
88.7%
Inter

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Salernitana

vs
3.43

Inter

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.576.7%
Over 3.557.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
11.8%
0-2
10.3%
0-4
10.1%
1-3
7.2%
0-5
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
1-4
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
1-5
4.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).