Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
St Pauli
15.9%
Draw
6.4%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
St Pauli
vs
0.60
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
3-0
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
0-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).