Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Lorient
22.4%
Draw
54.7%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Lorient
vs
1.74
Lens
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).