Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Lech Poznań
23.9%
Draw
20.5%
Piast Gliwice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Lech Poznań
vs
1.09
Piast Gliwice
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).