Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Falkirk
21.2%
Draw
26.1%
Airdrie Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Falkirk
vs
1.56
Airdrie Utd
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-2
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).