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04 Feb 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.0%
Monaco
21.6%
Draw
14.3%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Monaco

vs
0.67

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).