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HHT: 10CSV

31 Aug 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.8%
Amiens
13.8%
Draw
75.4%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Amiens

vs
2.68

Lorient

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-1
6.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
0-5
3.2%
2-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).