Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
Werder Bremen
22.7%
Draw
13.8%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Werder Bremen
vs
0.79
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).