Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Albacete
21.5%
Draw
14.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Albacete
vs
0.77
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).