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AHT: 00CSV

03 Mar 2020 · 19:45

Hearts

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Hibernian
30.0%
Draw
32.7%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Hibernian

vs
1.11

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Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).