Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Eibar
27.0%
Draw
31.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Eibar
vs
1.11
Almeria
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).