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HHT: 11CSV

07 Dec 2024 · 12:00

Hertha

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.1%
Greuther Furth
23.8%
Draw
54.1%
Hertha

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Greuther Furth

vs
1.96

Hertha

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).