Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Genk
23.9%
Draw
25.3%
Cercle Brugge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Genk
vs
1.22
Cercle Brugge
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).