Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Pogoń Szczecin
23.1%
Draw
33.8%
Lechia Gdańsk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
1.71
Lechia Gdańsk
Markets
BTTS71.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).