Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Hanley Town
25.3%
Draw
26.4%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Hanley Town
vs
1.02
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).