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24 Oct 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Preston
28.9%
Draw
43.0%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Preston

vs
1.40

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).