Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Villarreal
22.3%
Draw
18.7%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Villarreal
vs
1.01
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).