Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Ibiza
27.3%
Draw
41.2%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Ibiza
vs
1.30
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).