Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Harpenden Town
15.0%
Draw
74.9%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Harpenden Town
vs
2.53
Roma
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.0%
0-4
6.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
0-0
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).