⚽ FootballData
2 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

09 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
47.5%
Stuttgart
26.9%
Draw
25.6%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Stuttgart

vs
1.14

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).