Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Brescia
31.0%
Draw
29.2%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Brescia
vs
0.86
Parma
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).