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AHT: 01

08 Nov 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Pogoń Szczecin
26.5%
Draw
29.3%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
1.27

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).