Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Oxford
15.7%
Draw
11.1%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Oxford
vs
0.75
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.6%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).