Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Ipswich
23.8%
Draw
16.5%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Ipswich
vs
0.89
Watford
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).